US
US Government Shutdowns
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 5
Unrated: 1
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Both political parties anticipate short-term political gains from a government shutdown.
"Then both sides think they win politically from a shutdown, at least in the short term."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
It is uncertain who will be blamed for the current government shutdown.
"And it's anyone's guess who takes the blame."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
Federal agencies are instructed to prioritize cutting programs that are not aligned with the president's priorities during a government shutdown.
"The key line from the memo instructs agencies to focus cuts on programs quote not consistent with th..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
A month-long US government shutdown could reduce GDP growth by 0.8% and potentially lead to a recession.
"If the estimates are right, a month-long shutdown could cost 0.8% 8% of growth, potentially tipping ..."
Sep 30, 2025
Pending
The speaker advises against government shutdowns over basic funding decisions.
"So, it would be wise to do everything possible to avoid this, including not periodically shutting do..."
Sep 30, 2025
Incorrect
A memo directs federal agencies to prepare for permanent job eliminations (RIFs) rather than temporary furloughs during a government shutdown.
"The memo directs federal agencies to prepare for reductions in force or riffs in government speak, n..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
The current approach to government shutdowns is being redefined from a temporary pause to a permanent elimination of government functions and programs.
"Put simply, it transforms the shutdown from a pause button into a delete key."
Sep 30, 2025
Pending
During the shutdown, the administration intends to permanently eliminate government programs that do not align with the President's priorities, using the shutdown as a mechanism for this.
"This memo instructs agencies to focus cuts on programs quote not consistent with the president's pri..."
Sep 30, 2025
Pending
Federal agencies may implement permanent job eliminations (RIFs) instead of temporary furloughs during the current government shutdown, representing a significant escalation from previous shutdowns.
"The memo directs federal agencies to prepare for reductions in force or riffs in government speak, n..."
Sep 30, 2025
Unrated
Government shutdowns are common, with 21 occurring since 1982, and 10 of those leading to worker furloughs.
"the government begins shutting down essential services to conserve its resources and surprisingly it..."
Jan 18, 2023
Pending